SV Meppen vs Schalke 04 II Statistics & Analysis

SV Meppen

Jul 25, 2026 - 13:00

8 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 12%

Schalke 04 II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 SV Meppen SV Meppen ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 8-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1453768

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result SV Meppen win · SV Meppen 8–0 Schalke 04 II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: SV Meppen vs Schalke 04 II
Kickoff: 2026-07-25 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): SV Meppen 1.36 — Schalke 04 II 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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