Bohemians 1905 II vs Písek Statistics & Analysis

Bohemians 1905 II

Oct 04, 2026 - 08:15

3 1.30

xG Accuracy: 39%

Písek

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Bohemians 1905 II Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11657962

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Bohemians 1905 II 3–3 Písek

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - CFL A
Fixture: Bohemians 1905 II vs Písek
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 08:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Bohemians 1905 II 1.3 — Písek 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 38.9% · Probability edge: +12.9 pts · Est. EV: +29.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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