Svitavy vs Vykan Statistics & Analysis

Svitavy

Sep 13, 2026 - 15:00

0 1.28

0 1.32

xG Accuracy: 49%

⚽

Vykan

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Vykan Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7446983

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Svitavy 0–0 Vykan

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Svitavy vs Vykan
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Svitavy 1.28 — Vykan 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	8	6	2	0	20
2	Kosmonosy	8	6	1	1	19
3	Přepeře	7	6	0	1	18
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	8	5	2	1	17
5	Hlinsko	8	4	1	3	13
6	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	8	4	1	3	13
7	Kolín	7	3	3	1	12
8	Turnov	7	3	1	3	10
9	Vykan	8	3	1	4	10
10	Trutnov	7	3	1	3	10
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	8	3	1	4	10
12	Spartak Police n/Metují	8	3	0	5	9
13	Dvůr Králové	7	2	1	4	7
14	Svitavy	7	1	2	4	5
15	Chrudim II	8	0	1	7	1
16	Letohrad	8	0	0	8	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	8	27	14	+13	20
2	Kosmonosy	8	26	12	+14	19
3	Přepeře	7	24	8	+16	18
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	8	18	7	+11	17
5	Turnov	7	17	14	+3	10
6	Vykan	8	17	14	+3	10
7	Hlinsko	8	16	14	+2	13
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	8	14	13	+1	13
9	Slavia Hradec Králové	8	14	18	-4	10
10	Kolín	7	13	12	+1	12
11	Trutnov	7	12	10	+2	10
12	Spartak Police n/Metují	8	12	18	-6	9
13	Chrudim II	8	11	35	-24	1
14	Letohrad	8	10	31	-21	0
15	Dvůr Králové	7	8	11	-3	7
16	Svitavy	7	6	14	-8	5