Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie C / Kolín vs Chrudim II

Kolín vs Chrudim II Statistics & Analysis

Kolín Kolín
Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
5 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 34%
Chrudim II Chrudim II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kolín Kolín ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13218975

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kolín win · Kolín 5–1 Chrudim II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie C
  • Fixture: Kolín vs Chrudim II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Kolín 1.32 — Chrudim II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie C 4. liga - Divizie C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kosmonosy 10 8 1 1 25
2 Přepeře 10 8 0 2 24
3 Vysoké Mýto 9 7 2 0 23
4 Ústí nad Orlicí 9 6 2 1 20
5 Turnov 10 5 2 3 17
6 Trutnov 9 5 1 3 16
7 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 9 5 1 3 16
8 Spartak Police n/Metují 10 4 1 5 13
9 Hlinsko 10 4 1 5 13
10 Kolín 9 3 3 3 12
11 Slavia Hradec Králové 10 3 2 5 11
12 Vykan 10 3 1 6 10
13 Dvůr Králové 9 3 1 5 10
14 Svitavy 9 1 2 6 5
15 Letohrad 10 0 1 9 1
16 Chrudim II 9 0 1 8 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kosmonosy 10 33 15 +18 25
2 Přepeře 10 32 10 +22 24
3 Vysoké Mýto 9 29 14 +15 23
4 Turnov 10 25 18 +7 17
5 Ústí nad Orlicí 9 20 8 +12 20
6 Hlinsko 10 18 21 -3 13
7 Vykan 10 18 21 -3 10
8 Trutnov 9 17 12 +5 16
9 Spartak Police n/Metují 10 17 19 -2 13
10 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 9 16 13 +3 16
11 Slavia Hradec Králové 10 16 21 -5 11
12 Kolín 9 15 16 -1 12
13 Letohrad 10 12 37 -25 1
14 Chrudim II 9 12 39 -27 1
15 Dvůr Králové 9 9 13 -4 10
16 Svitavy 9 8 20 -12 5
4. liga - Divizie C Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie C Predictions