Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie C / Turnov vs Chrudim II

Turnov vs Chrudim II Statistics & Analysis

Turnov Turnov
Oct 04, 2026 - 14:00
4 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 45%
Chrudim II Chrudim II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Turnov Turnov ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676577

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Turnov win · Turnov 4–1 Chrudim II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie C
  • Fixture: Turnov vs Chrudim II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Turnov 1.33 — Chrudim II 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
4. liga - Divizie C 4. liga - Divizie C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vysoké Mýto 9 7 2 0 23
2 Kosmonosy 9 7 1 1 22
3 Přepeře 9 7 0 2 21
4 Ústí nad Orlicí 8 5 2 1 17
5 Trutnov 9 5 1 3 16
6 Turnov 8 4 1 3 13
7 Hlinsko 8 4 1 3 13
8 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 8 4 1 3 13
9 Kolín 8 3 3 2 12
10 Vykan 9 3 1 5 10
11 Dvůr Králové 9 3 1 5 10
12 Slavia Hradec Králové 9 3 1 5 10
13 Spartak Police n/Metují 8 3 0 5 9
14 Svitavy 9 1 2 6 5
15 Chrudim II 8 0 1 7 1
16 Letohrad 8 0 0 8 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Vysoké Mýto 9 29 14 +15 23
2 Kosmonosy 9 28 13 +15 22
3 Přepeře 9 27 10 +17 21
4 Turnov 8 19 15 +4 13
5 Ústí nad Orlicí 8 18 7 +11 17
6 Vykan 9 18 16 +2 10
7 Trutnov 9 17 12 +5 16
8 Hlinsko 8 16 14 +2 13
9 Slavia Hradec Králové 9 15 20 -5 10
10 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 8 14 13 +1 13
11 Kolín 8 14 14 0 12
12 Spartak Police n/Metují 8 12 18 -6 9
13 Chrudim II 8 11 35 -24 1
14 Letohrad 8 10 31 -21 0
15 Dvůr Králové 9 9 13 -4 10
16 Svitavy 9 8 20 -12 5