Přepeře vs Svitavy Statistics & Analysis

Přepeře

Oct 03, 2026 - 08:30

3 1.47

1 1.13

xG Accuracy: 63%

Svitavy

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Přepeře Přepeře ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11218255

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Přepeře win · Přepeře 3–1 Svitavy

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Přepeře vs Svitavy
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
xG (showing): Přepeře 1.47 — Svitavy 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kosmonosy	10	8	1	1	25
2	Přepeře	10	8	0	2	24
3	Vysoké Mýto	9	7	2	0	23
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	9	6	2	1	20
5	Turnov	10	5	2	3	17
6	Trutnov	9	5	1	3	16
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	9	5	1	3	16
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	10	4	1	5	13
9	Hlinsko	10	4	1	5	13
10	Kolín	9	3	3	3	12
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	10	3	2	5	11
12	Vykan	10	3	1	6	10
13	Dvůr Králové	9	3	1	5	10
14	Svitavy	9	1	2	6	5
15	Letohrad	10	0	1	9	1
16	Chrudim II	9	0	1	8	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Kosmonosy	10	33	15	+18	25
2	Přepeře	10	32	10	+22	24
3	Vysoké Mýto	9	29	14	+15	23
4	Turnov	10	25	18	+7	17
5	Ústí nad Orlicí	9	20	8	+12	20
6	Hlinsko	10	18	21	-3	13
7	Vykan	10	18	21	-3	10
8	Trutnov	9	17	12	+5	16
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	10	17	19	-2	13
10	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	9	16	13	+3	16
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	10	16	21	-5	11
12	Kolín	9	15	16	-1	12
13	Letohrad	10	12	37	-25	1
14	Chrudim II	9	12	39	-27	1
15	Dvůr Králové	9	9	13	-4	10
16	Svitavy	9	8	20	-12	5