Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí Statistics & Analysis

Slavia Hradec Králové

Aug 29, 2026 - 08:15

3 1.19

1 1.41

xG Accuracy: 54%

Ústí nad Orlicí

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Ústí nad Orlicí Slavia Hradec Králové ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5119909

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Slavia Hradec Králové win · Slavia Hradec Králové 3–1 Ústí nad Orlicí

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 08:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Slavia Hradec Králové 1.19 — Ústí nad Orlicí 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	8	6	2	0	20
2	Kosmonosy	8	6	1	1	19
3	Přepeře	8	6	0	2	18
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	8	5	2	1	17
5	Turnov	8	4	1	3	13
6	Trutnov	8	4	1	3	13
7	Hlinsko	8	4	1	3	13
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	8	4	1	3	13
9	Kolín	8	3	3	2	12
10	Vykan	8	3	1	4	10
11	Dvůr Králové	8	3	1	4	10
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	8	3	1	4	10
13	Spartak Police n/Metují	8	3	0	5	9
14	Svitavy	8	1	2	5	5
15	Chrudim II	8	0	1	7	1
16	Letohrad	8	0	0	8	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	8	27	14	+13	20
2	Kosmonosy	8	26	12	+14	19
3	Přepeře	8	24	9	+15	18
4	Turnov	8	19	15	+4	13
5	Ústí nad Orlicí	8	18	7	+11	17
6	Vykan	8	17	14	+3	10
7	Hlinsko	8	16	14	+2	13
8	Trutnov	8	15	11	+4	13
9	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	8	14	13	+1	13
10	Kolín	8	14	14	0	12
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	8	14	18	-4	10
12	Spartak Police n/Metují	8	12	18	-6	9
13	Chrudim II	8	11	35	-24	1
14	Letohrad	8	10	31	-21	0
15	Dvůr Králové	8	9	11	-2	10
16	Svitavy	8	7	17	-10	5