Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B / Chomutov vs Tempo Praha

Chomutov vs Tempo Praha Statistics & Analysis

Chomutov Chomutov
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 68%
Tempo Praha Tempo Praha
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tempo Praha Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13225137

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Chomutov 2–2 Tempo Praha
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B
  • Fixture: Chomutov vs Tempo Praha
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Chomutov 1.29 — Tempo Praha 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie B 4. liga - Divizie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 10 7 1 2 22
2 Chomutov 10 7 1 2 22
3 Újezd Praha 4 10 6 2 2 20
4 Rapid Psáry 10 6 1 3 19
5 Baník Sokolov 10 6 0 4 18
6 Brandýs nad Labem 10 5 0 5 15
7 Slaný 10 4 2 4 14
8 Tempo Praha 10 4 2 4 14
9 Slovan Velvary 10 4 2 4 14
10 Karlovy Vary 10 4 1 5 13
11 Meteor Praha 9 4 1 4 13
12 Štětí 10 3 3 4 12
13 Ostrov 9 3 1 5 10
14 Slavoj Vyšehrad 10 2 1 7 7
15 Hvězda Cheb 10 2 1 7 7
16 Ústí nad Labem II 10 1 3 6 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 10 29 11 +18 22
2 Brandýs nad Labem 10 26 26 0 15
3 Rapid Psáry 10 24 12 +12 19
4 Karlovy Vary 10 22 20 +2 13
5 Chomutov 10 21 9 +12 22
6 Baník Sokolov 10 21 13 +8 18
7 Slaný 10 21 13 +8 14
8 Újezd Praha 4 10 21 16 +5 20
9 Tempo Praha 10 19 17 +2 14
10 Slavoj Vyšehrad 10 17 31 -14 7
11 Meteor Praha 9 16 17 -1 13
12 Ostrov 9 16 23 -7 10
13 Štětí 10 15 18 -3 12
14 Hvězda Cheb 10 15 34 -19 7
15 Slovan Velvary 10 14 19 -5 14
16 Ústí nad Labem II 10 8 26 -18 6
4. liga - Divizie B Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B Predictions