Újezd Praha 4 vs Slovan Velvary Statistics & Analysis

Újezd Praha 4

Oct 03, 2026 - 08:15

2 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 78%

Slovan Velvary

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Újezd Praha 4 Újezd Praha 4 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11217965

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Újezd Praha 4 win · Újezd Praha 4 2–1 Slovan Velvary

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie B
Fixture: Újezd Praha 4 vs Slovan Velvary
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Újezd Praha 4 1.35 — Slovan Velvary 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	8	7	0	1	21
2	Chomutov	9	7	0	2	21
3	Újezd Praha 4	9	5	2	2	17
4	Rapid Psáry	8	5	0	3	15
5	Baník Sokolov	9	5	0	4	15
6	Brandýs nad Labem	9	5	0	4	15
7	Tempo Praha	9	4	1	4	13
8	Meteor Praha	9	4	1	4	13
9	Slovan Velvary	9	4	1	4	13
10	Karlovy Vary	9	4	0	5	12
11	Slaný	9	3	2	4	11
12	Štětí	9	3	2	4	11
13	Ostrov	9	3	1	5	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	9	2	1	6	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	9	2	1	6	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	9	1	2	6	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	8	27	8	+19	21
2	Brandýs nad Labem	9	25	21	+4	15
3	Karlovy Vary	9	20	18	+2	12
4	Chomutov	9	19	7	+12	21
5	Baník Sokolov	9	19	12	+7	15
6	Rapid Psáry	8	18	10	+8	15
7	Slaný	9	18	13	+5	11
8	Újezd Praha 4	9	17	14	+3	17
9	Tempo Praha	9	17	15	+2	13
10	Meteor Praha	9	16	17	-1	13
11	Ostrov	9	16	23	-7	10
12	Slavoj Vyšehrad	9	15	27	-12	7
13	Hvězda Cheb	9	15	31	-16	7
14	Slovan Velvary	9	14	19	-5	13
15	Štětí	9	13	16	-3	11
16	Ústí nad Labem II	9	8	26	-18	5