Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B / Meteor Praha vs Hvězda Cheb

Meteor Praha vs Hvězda Cheb Statistics & Analysis

Meteor Praha Meteor Praha
Sep 27, 2026 - 08:15
7 1.33
2 1.27
xG Accuracy: 17%
Hvězda Cheb Hvězda Cheb
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Meteor Praha Meteor Praha ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10079980

Closing Odds 1.36
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Meteor Praha win · Meteor Praha 7–2 Hvězda Cheb
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Hvězda Cheb (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Hvězda Cheb (1X2) by about 18.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Meteor Praha (1X2) 36.6 65.2 -28.6
Draw (1X2) 29.6 19.1 +10.5
Hvězda Cheb (1X2) 33.8 15.7 +18.1
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 33.8% on Hvězda Cheb (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 15.7%. The difference — about 18.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Meteor Praha (1X2) 1.36 1.36 0.0
Draw (1X2) 4.64 4.64 0.0
Hvězda Cheb (1X2) 5.67 5.67 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B
  • Fixture: Meteor Praha vs Hvězda Cheb
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Meteor Praha 1.33 — Hvězda Cheb 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Meteor Praha & Hvězda Cheb!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
4. liga - Divizie B 4. liga - Divizie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 8 7 0 1 21
2 Chomutov 8 7 0 1 21
3 Baník Sokolov 8 5 0 3 15
4 Rapid Psáry 8 5 0 3 15
5 Újezd Praha 4 8 4 2 2 14
6 Slovan Velvary 8 4 1 3 13
7 Karlovy Vary 8 4 0 4 12
8 Brandýs nad Labem 8 4 0 4 12
9 Tempo Praha 8 3 1 4 10
10 Štětí 8 3 1 4 10
11 Slaný 8 2 2 4 8
12 Meteor Praha 7 2 1 4 7
13 Ostrov 8 2 1 5 7
14 Slavoj Vyšehrad 8 2 1 5 7
15 Hvězda Cheb 7 2 0 5 6
16 Ústí nad Labem II 8 1 2 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 8 27 8 +19 21
2 Brandýs nad Labem 8 20 19 +1 12
3 Chomutov 8 18 5 +13 21
4 Baník Sokolov 8 18 8 +10 15
5 Rapid Psáry 8 18 10 +8 15
6 Karlovy Vary 8 18 15 +3 12
7 Slaný 8 16 13 +3 8
8 Újezd Praha 4 8 15 13 +2 14
9 Ostrov 8 14 22 -8 7
10 Tempo Praha 8 13 14 -1 10
11 Slovan Velvary 8 13 17 -4 13
12 Slavoj Vyšehrad 8 13 22 -9 7
13 Štětí 8 12 15 -3 10
14 Hvězda Cheb 7 12 23 -11 6
15 Ústí nad Labem II 8 8 24 -16 5
16 Meteor Praha 7 6 13 -7 7
4. liga - Divizie B Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B Predictions