Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B / Ústí nad Labem II vs Brandýs nad Labem

Ústí nad Labem II vs Brandýs nad Labem Statistics & Analysis

Ústí nad Labem II Ústí nad Labem II
Sep 12, 2026 - 08:30
2 1.34
4 1.26
xG Accuracy: 39%
Brandýs nad Labem Brandýs nad Labem
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ústí nad Labem II Brandýs nad Labem ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7418100

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brandýs nad Labem win · Ústí nad Labem II 2–4 Brandýs nad Labem
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B
  • Fixture: Ústí nad Labem II vs Brandýs nad Labem
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 08:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Ústí nad Labem II 1.34 — Brandýs nad Labem 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie B 4. liga - Divizie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 6 5 0 1 15
2 Chomutov 6 5 0 1 15
3 Slovan Velvary 6 4 1 1 13
4 Baník Sokolov 5 4 0 1 12
5 Újezd Praha 4 6 3 1 2 10
6 Rapid Psáry 6 3 0 3 9
7 Karlovy Vary 6 3 0 3 9
8 Slaný 6 2 2 2 8
9 Tempo Praha 6 2 1 3 7
10 Slavoj Vyšehrad 6 2 1 3 7
11 Brandýs nad Labem 5 2 0 3 6
12 Hvězda Cheb 6 2 0 4 6
13 Ostrov 5 1 1 3 4
14 Ústí nad Labem II 6 1 1 4 4
15 Štětí 5 1 0 4 3
16 Meteor Praha 4 1 0 3 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sokol Hostouň 6 20 6 +14 15
2 Baník Sokolov 5 16 4 +12 12
3 Slaný 6 16 8 +8 8
4 Karlovy Vary 6 16 14 +2 9
5 Chomutov 6 14 4 +10 15
6 Brandýs nad Labem 5 14 15 -1 6
7 Rapid Psáry 6 12 7 +5 9
8 Slovan Velvary 6 12 10 +2 13
9 Újezd Praha 4 6 12 11 +1 10
10 Slavoj Vyšehrad 6 11 18 -7 7
11 Hvězda Cheb 6 11 20 -9 6
12 Tempo Praha 6 9 10 -1 7
13 Ostrov 5 9 15 -6 4
14 Ústí nad Labem II 6 6 21 -15 4
15 Štětí 5 5 12 -7 3
16 Meteor Praha 4 2 10 -8 3
4. liga - Divizie B Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B Predictions