Rapid Psáry vs Slaný Statistics & Analysis

Rapid Psáry

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 79%

Slaný

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Rapid Psáry Rapid Psáry ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5148948

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Rapid Psáry win · Rapid Psáry 2–1 Slaný

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 4. liga - Divizie B
Fixture: Rapid Psáry vs Slaný
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Rapid Psáry 1.37 — Slaný 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	6	5	0	1	15
2	Chomutov	6	5	0	1	15
3	Slovan Velvary	6	4	1	1	13
4	Baník Sokolov	5	4	0	1	12
5	Újezd Praha 4	6	3	1	2	10
6	Rapid Psáry	6	3	0	3	9
7	Karlovy Vary	6	3	0	3	9
8	Slaný	6	2	2	2	8
9	Tempo Praha	6	2	1	3	7
10	Slavoj Vyšehrad	6	2	1	3	7
11	Brandýs nad Labem	5	2	0	3	6
12	Hvězda Cheb	6	2	0	4	6
13	Ostrov	5	1	1	3	4
14	Ústí nad Labem II	6	1	1	4	4
15	Štětí	5	1	0	4	3
16	Meteor Praha	4	1	0	3	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	6	20	6	+14	15
2	Baník Sokolov	5	16	4	+12	12
3	Slaný	6	16	8	+8	8
4	Karlovy Vary	6	16	14	+2	9
5	Chomutov	6	14	4	+10	15
6	Brandýs nad Labem	5	14	15	-1	6
7	Rapid Psáry	6	12	7	+5	9
8	Slovan Velvary	6	12	10	+2	13
9	Újezd Praha 4	6	12	11	+1	10
10	Slavoj Vyšehrad	6	11	18	-7	7
11	Hvězda Cheb	6	11	20	-9	6
12	Tempo Praha	6	9	10	-1	7
13	Ostrov	5	9	15	-6	4
14	Ústí nad Labem II	6	6	21	-15	4
15	Štětí	5	5	12	-7	3
16	Meteor Praha	4	2	10	-8	3