Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie A / Spartak Soběslav vs Doubravka

Spartak Soběslav vs Doubravka Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Soběslav Spartak Soběslav
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.44
1 1.16
xG Accuracy: 82%
Doubravka Doubravka
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Spartak Soběslav Spartak Soběslav ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11240071

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Spartak Soběslav win · Spartak Soběslav 2–1 Doubravka
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie A
  • Fixture: Spartak Soběslav vs Doubravka
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
  • xG (showing): Spartak Soběslav 1.44 — Doubravka 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
4. liga - Divizie A 4. liga - Divizie A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Petřín Plzeň 9 6 1 2 19
2 Křimice 9 6 1 2 19
3 Spartak Pribram 8 5 2 1 17
4 Hořovicko 9 5 2 2 17
5 Spartak Soběslav 8 5 1 2 16
6 Hluboka nad Vltavou 8 4 4 0 16
7 Komárov 8 4 4 0 16
8 Táborsko II 8 4 2 2 14
9 Slavoj Český Krumlov 9 4 0 5 12
10 Doubravka 9 3 1 5 10
11 Strakonice 8 2 1 5 7
12 Rokycany 8 2 1 5 7
13 Jiskra Domažlice II 8 1 0 7 3
14 Nyrsko 8 1 0 7 3
15 Milevsko 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spartak Pribram 8 23 11 +12 17
2 Petřín Plzeň 9 20 12 +8 19
3 Spartak Soběslav 8 19 12 +7 16
4 Slavoj Český Krumlov 9 18 21 -3 12
5 Křimice 9 17 10 +7 19
6 Strakonice 8 17 22 -5 7
7 Táborsko II 8 16 11 +5 14
8 Hořovicko 9 15 10 +5 17
9 Hluboka nad Vltavou 8 15 10 +5 16
10 Doubravka 9 14 16 -2 10
11 Komárov 8 12 7 +5 16
12 Nyrsko 8 10 26 -16 3
13 Jiskra Domažlice II 8 8 16 -8 3
14 Milevsko 9 7 18 -11 2
15 Rokycany 8 5 14 -9 7
4. liga - Divizie A Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie A Predictions