Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Rokycany Statistics & Analysis

Slavoj Český Krumlov

Oct 03, 2026 - 08:15

4 1.29

0 1.31

xG Accuracy: 33%

Rokycany

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Rokycany Slavoj Český Krumlov ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11217863

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Slavoj Český Krumlov win · Slavoj Český Krumlov 4–0 Rokycany

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 4. liga - Divizie A
Fixture: Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Rokycany
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Slavoj Český Krumlov 1.29 — Rokycany 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie A — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	9	6	1	2	19
2	Křimice	9	6	1	2	19
3	Spartak Pribram	8	5	2	1	17
4	Hořovicko	9	5	2	2	17
5	Spartak Soběslav	8	5	1	2	16
6	Hluboka nad Vltavou	8	4	4	0	16
7	Komárov	8	4	4	0	16
8	Táborsko II	8	4	2	2	14
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	9	4	0	5	12
10	Doubravka	9	3	1	5	10
11	Strakonice	8	2	1	5	7
12	Rokycany	8	2	1	5	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	8	1	0	7	3
14	Nyrsko	8	1	0	7	3
15	Milevsko	9	0	2	7	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Spartak Pribram	8	23	11	+12	17
2	Petřín Plzeň	9	20	12	+8	19
3	Spartak Soběslav	8	19	12	+7	16
4	Slavoj Český Krumlov	9	18	21	-3	12
5	Křimice	9	17	10	+7	19
6	Strakonice	8	17	22	-5	7
7	Táborsko II	8	16	11	+5	14
8	Hořovicko	9	15	10	+5	17
9	Hluboka nad Vltavou	8	15	10	+5	16
10	Doubravka	9	14	16	-2	10
11	Komárov	8	12	7	+5	16
12	Nyrsko	8	10	26	-16	3
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	8	8	16	-8	3
14	Milevsko	9	7	18	-11	2
15	Rokycany	8	5	14	-9	7