Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Premiership / Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC Statistics & Analysis

Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
4 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 36%
Crusaders FC Crusaders FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11239865

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Carrick Rangers win · Carrick Rangers 4–0 Crusaders FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premiership
  • Fixture: Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Carrick Rangers 1.43 — Crusaders FC 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premiership Premiership — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Coleraine FC 9 7 1 1 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 16
4 Crusaders FC 9 5 0 4 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13
6 Dungannon Swifts 8 4 1 3 13
7 Cliftonville FC 9 4 0 5 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 10
9 Ballymena United 8 2 3 3 9
10 Limavady United 8 3 0 5 9
11 Bangor 9 1 2 6 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Coleraine FC 9 19 8 +11 22
2 Crusaders FC 9 15 14 +1 15
3 Glentoran 9 13 10 +3 13
4 Larne 6 12 3 +9 16
5 Linfield 9 12 6 +6 22
6 Cliftonville FC 9 12 11 +1 12
7 Ballymena United 8 12 11 +1 9
8 Carrick Rangers 9 11 15 -4 10
9 Dungannon Swifts 8 9 8 +1 13
10 Bangor 9 8 19 -11 5
11 Limavady United 8 7 11 -4 9
12 Portadown 9 5 19 -14 1
Premiership Northern-Ireland. Premiership Predictions