Market intelligence
Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.
Market briefing
Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE10 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.
Model vs. closing implied
| Market |
Model % |
Closing impl. % |
Gap (pp) |
| WSG Wattens (1X2) |
37.9 |
37.9 |
+0.0 |
| Draw (1X2) |
27.0 |
25.8 |
+1.3 |
| Ried (1X2) |
35.1 |
36.4 |
-1.3 |
Closing-window line move
Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path:
PRE10 → PRE1
· Book:
bet365
Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.
Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.
View full line-by-line capture table
| Market |
Early (PRE10) |
Closing (PRE1) |
Implied Δ (pp) |
| WSG Wattens (1X2) |
2.45 |
2.45 |
0.0 |
| Draw (1X2) |
3.6 |
3.6 |
0.0 |
| Ried (1X2) |
2.55 |
2.55 |
0.0 |