Statistics / Football / Austria. Bundesliga / TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau Statistics & Analysis

TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
4 1.59
3 1.36
xG Accuracy: 33%
Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 4-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13202304

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result TSV Hartberg win · TSV Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Bundesliga
  • Fixture: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.5% · Draw 27.3% · Away 31.2%
  • xG (showing): TSV Hartberg 1.59 — Austria Lustenau 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.95)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.6%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for TSV Hartberg & Austria Lustenau!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Bundesliga Bundesliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 18
2 Red Bull Salzburg 7 5 2 0 17
3 Lask Linz 7 5 1 1 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 8
6 TSV Hartberg 7 2 2 3 8
7 WSG Wattens 7 2 2 3 8
8 Austria Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 5
12 SCR Altach 7 1 0 6 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rapid Vienna 7 21 7 +14 18
2 Lask Linz 7 19 7 +12 16
3 Red Bull Salzburg 7 18 4 +14 17
4 Ried 7 11 12 -1 8
5 TSV Hartberg 7 10 13 -3 8
6 WSG Wattens 7 9 12 -3 8
7 Sturm Graz 7 8 9 -1 11
8 Austria Lustenau 7 8 11 -3 8
9 Austria Vienna 7 7 13 -6 7
10 Wolfsberger AC 7 7 13 -6 5
11 Grazer AK 7 6 16 -10 8
12 SCR Altach 7 5 12 -7 3
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Rapid Vienna 7 14.3 6.0 +8.3 18
2 Red Bull Salzburg 7 13.9 6.0 +7.9 17
3 Lask Linz 7 12.1 4.7 +7.4 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 10.0 6.8 +3.2 11
5 SCR Altach 7 8.0 8.1 -0.1 3
6 Ried 7 9.4 9.7 -0.3 8
7 TSV Hartberg 7 10.9 13.0 -2.1 8
8 WSG Wattens 7 7.1 9.9 -2.8 8
9 Grazer AK 7 7.6 11.4 -3.8 8
10 Wolfsberger AC 7 5.1 10.5 -5.4 5
11 Austria Lustenau 7 7.3 13.0 -5.7 8
12 Austria Vienna 7 4.4 11.0 -6.6 7
Bundesliga Austria. Bundesliga Predictions