Statistics / Football / Poland. II Liga - East / Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków

Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków Statistics & Analysis

Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Oct 11, 2026 - 17:30
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Znicz Pruszków Znicz Pruszków
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Znicz Pruszków ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13233542

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Znicz Pruszków win · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0–1 Znicz Pruszków
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: II Liga - East
  • Fixture: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.32 — Znicz Pruszków 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.9% · Probability edge: +13.9 pts · Est. EV: +29.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
II Liga - East II Liga - East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 7 2 1 23
2 Górnik Łęczna 10 6 2 2 20
3 Tychy 71 10 5 5 0 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 5 2 4 17
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 4 4 2 16
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 4 4 3 16
8 Hutnik Kraków 10 4 3 3 15
9 Lechia Zielona Góra 11 4 3 4 15
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 4 3 4 15
11 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 4 3 3 15
12 Avia Świdnik 11 4 2 5 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 13
14 Legia Warszawa II 10 4 0 6 12
15 Śląsk Wrocław II 10 3 0 7 9
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 1 5 4 8
17 Świt Skolwin 11 2 2 7 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 0 4 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 23 12 +11 23
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 22 20 +2 18
3 Górnik Łęczna 10 21 10 +11 20
4 Legia Warszawa II 10 20 17 +3 12
5 Lechia Zielona Góra 11 20 18 +2 15
6 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 19 19 0 15
7 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 19 23 -4 13
8 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 17 13 +4 16
9 Śląsk Wrocław II 10 17 20 -3 9
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 16 12 +4 17
11 Hutnik Kraków 10 16 13 +3 15
12 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 15 12 +3 16
13 Tychy 71 10 14 6 +8 20
14 Avia Świdnik 11 14 17 -3 14
15 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 13 16 -3 15
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 11 23 -12 8
17 Świt Skolwin 11 11 25 -14 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 7 19 -12 4
II Liga - East Poland. II Liga - East Predictions