Statistics / Football / Poland. II Liga - East / Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Olimpia Grudziądz

Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Olimpia Grudziądz Statistics & Analysis

Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Oct 04, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 80%
Olimpia Grudziądz Olimpia Grudziądz
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Olimpia Grudziądz Olimpia Grudziądz ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11685984

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Olimpia Grudziądz win · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1–2 Olimpia Grudziądz
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: II Liga - East
  • Fixture: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Olimpia Grudziądz
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.21 — Olimpia Grudziądz 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.2% · Probability edge: +7.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
II Liga - East II Liga - East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 7 2 1 23
2 Górnik Łęczna 10 6 2 2 20
3 Tychy 71 10 5 5 0 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 5 2 4 17
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 4 4 2 16
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 4 4 3 16
8 Lechia Zielona Góra 10 4 3 3 15
9 Hutnik Kraków 10 4 3 3 15
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 4 3 4 15
11 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 4 3 3 15
12 Avia Świdnik 10 3 2 5 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 10
14 Legia Warszawa II 9 3 0 6 9
15 Śląsk Wrocław II 9 3 0 6 9
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 1 5 4 8
17 Świt Skolwin 10 2 2 6 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 0 4 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 23 12 +11 23
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 22 20 +2 18
3 Górnik Łęczna 10 21 10 +11 20
4 Lechia Zielona Góra 10 20 16 +4 15
5 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 19 19 0 15
6 Legia Warszawa II 9 18 17 +1 9
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 17 13 +4 16
8 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 16 12 +4 17
9 Hutnik Kraków 10 16 13 +3 15
10 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 16 21 -5 10
11 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 15 12 +3 16
12 Śląsk Wrocław II 9 15 17 -2 9
13 Tychy 71 10 14 6 +8 20
14 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 13 16 -3 15
15 Avia Świdnik 10 13 17 -4 11
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 11 23 -12 8
17 Świt Skolwin 10 11 24 -13 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 7 19 -12 4
II Liga - East Poland. II Liga - East Predictions