Statistics / Football / Macao. Primeira Divisão / Hang Sai vs Shao Jiang

Hang Sai vs Shao Jiang Statistics & Analysis

Hang Sai Hang Sai
Jun 26, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.11
5 1.49
xG Accuracy: 30%
Shao Jiang Shao Jiang
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Shao Jiang Shao Jiang ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1473099

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Shao Jiang win · Hang Sai 2–5 Shao Jiang
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Primeira Divisão
  • Fixture: Hang Sai vs Shao Jiang
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-26 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 26.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away 44.3%
  • xG (showing): Hang Sai 1.11 — Shao Jiang 1.49 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primeira Divisão Primeira Divisão — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Shao Jiang 13 10 2 1 32
2 CPK 12 9 1 2 28
3 Jia Hua 12 8 1 3 25
4 Chiba 12 6 3 3 21
5 Cheng Fung 13 5 4 4 19
6 Benfica 12 4 4 4 16
7 Gorilla of the Universe 12 4 1 7 13
8 Hang Sai 12 2 3 7 9
9 Artilheiros 12 2 2 8 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 0 1 11 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 CPK 12 57 9 +48 28
2 Shao Jiang 13 52 13 +39 32
3 Jia Hua 12 35 16 +19 25
4 Chiba 12 33 21 +12 21
5 Gorilla of the Universe 12 32 51 -19 13
6 Cheng Fung 13 23 19 +4 19
7 Benfica 12 23 28 -5 16
8 Hang Sai 12 18 28 -10 9
9 Artilheiros 12 15 62 -47 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 7 48 -41 1