Statistics / Football / Slovakia. 2. liga / Liptovský Mikuláš vs Inter Bratislava

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Inter Bratislava Statistics & Analysis

Liptovský Mikuláš Liptovský Mikuláš
Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.37
3 1.23
xG Accuracy: 39%
Inter Bratislava Inter Bratislava
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Liptovský Mikuláš Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5912825

Closing Odds 1.98
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Liptovský Mikuláš 3–3 Inter Bratislava
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 5.42 percentage points on Liptovský Mikuláš (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 9.3 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Liptovský Mikuláš (1X2) 38.5 46.3 -7.8
Draw (1X2) 29.6 25.6 +4.0
Inter Bratislava (1X2) 31.9 28.1 +3.8
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 57.5 -9.3
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 42.5 +9.3
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 42.5%. The difference — about 9.3 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Liptovský Mikuláš (1X2) 1.77 1.98 -5.4
Draw (1X2) 3.82 3.58 +1.6
Inter Bratislava (1X2) 3.76 3.26 +3.8
Over 2.5 goals 1.6 1.63 -1.0
Under 2.5 goals 2.26 2.21 +1.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. liga
  • Fixture: Liptovský Mikuláš vs Inter Bratislava
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Liptovský Mikuláš 1.37 — Inter Bratislava 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.5% · Probability edge: +8.3 pts · Est. EV: +14.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Liptovský Mikuláš & Inter Bratislava!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
2. liga 2. liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Petržalka 8 7 0 1 21
2 Šamorín 8 7 0 1 21
3 Pohronie 8 5 1 2 16
4 Považská Bystrica 8 5 1 2 16
5 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 8 3 4 1 13
6 Žilina II 8 4 1 3 13
7 Tatran Prešov 8 4 1 3 13
8 Inter Bratislava 8 3 2 3 11
9 Galanta 8 3 1 4 10
10 Liptovský Mikuláš 8 2 3 3 9
11 Slovan Bratislava II 8 2 2 4 8
12 Zlaté Moravce 7 2 2 3 8
13 Malženice 8 2 1 5 7
14 Humenné 8 2 0 6 6
15 Lokomotíva Zvolen 7 0 3 4 3
16 MFK Bytča 8 1 0 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Šamorín 8 18 9 +9 21
2 Petržalka 8 17 6 +11 21
3 Inter Bratislava 8 16 10 +6 11
4 Pohronie 8 16 11 +5 16
5 Považská Bystrica 8 14 12 +2 16
6 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 8 13 10 +3 13
7 Liptovský Mikuláš 8 13 11 +2 9
8 Slovan Bratislava II 8 11 12 -1 8
9 Tatran Prešov 8 10 11 -1 13
10 Malženice 8 10 12 -2 7
11 Žilina II 8 8 7 +1 13
12 Galanta 8 7 12 -5 10
13 Zlaté Moravce 7 6 7 -1 8
14 Lokomotíva Zvolen 7 5 9 -4 3
15 Humenné 8 5 12 -7 6
16 MFK Bytča 8 5 23 -18 3
2. liga Slovakia. 2. liga Predictions