Caracas FC vs Yaracuyanos FC Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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Copa Venezuela — Standings

Caracas FC

Oct 07, 2026 - 22:00

1 1.40

0 1.20

xG Accuracy: 64%

Yaracuyanos FC

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Caracas FC Caracas FC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 18, 2026 · 18:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4522207

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Caracas FC win · Caracas FC 1–0 Yaracuyanos FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Copa Venezuela
Fixture: Caracas FC vs Yaracuyanos FC
Kickoff: 2026-10-07 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Caracas FC 1.4 — Yaracuyanos FC 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Academia Anzoátegui

Atletico Avila FC