Yaracuyanos FC vs Caracas FC Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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Copa Venezuela — Standings

Yaracuyanos FC

Aug 18, 2026 - 20:00

2 1.24

3 1.36

xG Accuracy: 52%

Caracas FC

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Caracas FC Caracas FC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 03:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1674834

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Caracas FC win · Yaracuyanos FC 2–3 Caracas FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Copa Venezuela
Fixture: Yaracuyanos FC vs Caracas FC
Kickoff: 2026-08-19 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Yaracuyanos FC 1.24 — Caracas FC 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Academia Anzoátegui

Atletico Avila FC