Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Warrington Town vs Chester

Warrington Town vs Chester Statistics & Analysis

Warrington Town Warrington Town
Jul 18, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Chester Chester
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Chester Chester ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1460737

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chester win · Warrington Town 0–2 Chester
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: Warrington Town vs Chester
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-18 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away 40.1%
  • xG (showing): Warrington Town 1.32 — Chester 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.7% · Probability edge: +7.1 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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