Weiche Flensburg vs Rotenhof Statistics & Analysis

Weiche Flensburg

Jul 07, 2026 - 17:00

6 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 26%

Rotenhof

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 29, 2026 · 09:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2350436

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Weiche Flensburg win · Weiche Flensburg 6–1 Rotenhof

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: Weiche Flensburg vs Rotenhof
Kickoff: 2026-07-07 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Weiche Flensburg 1.35 — Rotenhof 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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