KSK Beveren vs Waasland-beveren Statistics & Analysis

KSK Beveren

Jul 04, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.21

8 1.39

xG Accuracy: 15%

Waasland-beveren

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Waasland-beveren Waasland-beveren ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-8 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 00:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1519343

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Waasland-beveren win · KWaasland-beveren 1–8 Waasland-beveren

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: KWaasland-beveren vs Waasland-beveren
Kickoff: 2026-07-04 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): KWaasland-beveren 1.21 — Waasland-beveren 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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