Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB I / Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC Statistics & Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.43
1 1.15
xG Accuracy: 85%
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ferencvarosi TC Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13236770

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 Debreceni VSC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: NB I
  • Fixture: Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 51.1% · Draw 26.1% · Away 22.9%
  • xG (showing): Ferencvarosi TC 1.43 — Debreceni VSC 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.58)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
NB I NB I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyori ETO FC 8 4 3 1 15
2 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 14
5 Ferencvarosi TC 7 3 3 1 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9
9 Debreceni VSC 8 2 3 3 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 8
11 Budapest Honved 7 1 3 3 6
12 Zalaegerszegi TE 8 2 0 6 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Vasas 8 17 11 +6 14
2 Ujpest 8 17 13 +4 14
3 Gyori ETO FC 8 16 10 +6 15
4 Paks 8 16 17 -1 11
5 MTK Budapest 8 15 14 +1 9
6 Puskas Academy 8 13 10 +3 15
7 Debreceni VSC 8 12 15 -3 9
8 Ferencvarosi TC 7 11 8 +3 12
9 Budapest Honved 7 11 14 -3 6
10 Kisvarda FC 8 9 10 -1 9
11 Nyiregyhaza 8 9 14 -5 8
12 Zalaegerszegi TE 8 7 17 -10 6
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Zalaegerszegi TE 8 3.3 0.5 +2.8 6
2 Paks 8 2.4 0.5 +1.9 11
3 Vasas 8 1.6 0.5 +1.1 14
4 Puskas Academy 8 1.6 1.3 +0.3 15
5 Ferencvarosi TC 7 1.6 1.6 0.0 12
6 Debreceni VSC 8 1.6 1.6 0.0 9
7 Ujpest 8 1.3 1.3 0.0 14
8 Budapest Honved 7 1.3 1.3 0.0 6
9 Gyori ETO FC 8 1.3 1.6 -0.3 15
10 Kisvarda FC 8 0.5 1.6 -1.1 9
11 MTK Budapest 8 0.5 2.4 -1.9 9
12 Nyiregyhaza 8 0.5 3.3 -2.8 8
NB I Hungary. NB I Predictions