Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. Czech Liga / Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc Statistics & Analysis

Teplice Teplice
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.18
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 90%
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sigma Olomouc Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13205522

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Teplice 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Czech Liga
  • Fixture: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away 35.5%
  • xG (showing): Teplice 1.18 — Sigma Olomouc 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.38)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 57.5% · Implied: 48.2% · Probability edge: +9.3 pts · Est. EV: +16.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Czech Liga Czech Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Slavia Praha 9 7 2 0 23
2 Slovan Liberec 9 6 2 1 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 16
6 Zbrojovka Brno 9 5 1 3 16
7 Sparta Praha 9 5 0 4 15
8 FK Jablonec 9 4 2 3 14
9 Hradec Králové 9 4 2 3 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 10
11 Baník Ostrava 9 3 1 5 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9
13 Pardubice 9 2 2 5 8
14 Líšeň 9 1 2 6 5
15 Slovácko 9 0 4 5 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Slavia Praha 9 25 6 +19 23
2 Sparta Praha 9 18 12 +6 15
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 17 9 +8 17
4 Teplice 9 17 15 +2 16
5 Plzen 9 17 17 0 10
6 Sigma Olomouc 9 16 13 +3 16
7 Slovan Liberec 9 13 4 +9 20
8 Zbrojovka Brno 9 12 12 0 16
9 FK Jablonec 9 11 9 +2 14
10 Bohemians 1905 8 9 11 -2 9
11 Pardubice 9 9 14 -5 8
12 Hradec Králové 9 8 9 -1 14
13 Zlin 9 8 19 -11 1
14 Slovácko 9 7 16 -9 4
15 Baník Ostrava 9 7 17 -10 10
16 Líšeň 9 7 18 -11 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Slavia Praha 9 17.6 7.4 +10.2 23
2 Slovan Liberec 9 13.1 8.1 +5.0 20
3 Sparta Praha 9 15.7 11.5 +4.2 15
4 FK Jablonec 9 12.3 8.3 +4.0 14
5 Hradec Králové 9 8.5 6.6 +1.9 14
6 Plzen 9 11.6 10.0 +1.6 10
7 Teplice 9 10.7 10.2 +0.5 16
8 Bohemians 1905 8 9.3 9.6 -0.3 9
9 Zbrojovka Brno 9 8.2 8.6 -0.4 16
10 Pardubice 9 10.0 10.6 -0.6 8
11 Sigma Olomouc 9 9.6 10.4 -0.8 16
12 Líšeň 9 9.1 11.9 -2.8 5
13 Mlada Boleslav 8 12.3 15.9 -3.6 17
14 Baník Ostrava 9 11.7 17.2 -5.5 10
15 Slovácko 9 8.3 14.1 -5.8 4
16 Zlin 9 6.3 14.1 -7.8 1
Czech Liga Czech-Republic. Czech Liga Predictions