Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. Czech Liga / Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav Statistics & Analysis

Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905
Oct 14, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.97
0 1.33
xG Accuracy: 53%
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5148684

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bohemians 1905 win · Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Czech Liga
  • Fixture: Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 51.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away 24.5%
  • xG (showing): Bohemians 1905 1.97 — Mlada Boleslav 1.33 (total xG ≈ 3.3)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 64.1% · Implied: 56.3% · Probability edge: +7.8 pts · Est. EV: +18.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Czech Liga Czech Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Slavia Praha 10 8 2 0 26
2 Slovan Liberec 10 6 2 2 20
3 Sparta Praha 10 6 0 4 18
4 Mlada Boleslav 10 5 2 3 17
5 Sigma Olomouc 10 5 2 3 17
6 FK Jablonec 10 5 2 3 17
7 Teplice 10 5 2 3 17
8 Zbrojovka Brno 10 5 1 4 16
9 Bohemians 1905 10 4 3 3 15
10 Hradec Králové 10 4 2 4 14
11 Plzen 10 3 4 3 13
12 Baník Ostrava 10 3 1 6 10
13 Líšeň 10 2 2 6 8
14 Pardubice 10 2 2 6 8
15 Slovácko 10 1 4 5 7
16 Zlin 10 0 1 9 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Slavia Praha 10 26 6 +20 26
2 Sparta Praha 10 20 12 +8 18
3 Plzen 10 20 17 +3 13
4 Teplice 10 18 16 +2 17
5 Mlada Boleslav 10 17 13 +4 17
6 Sigma Olomouc 10 17 14 +3 17
7 Slovan Liberec 10 13 6 +7 20
8 FK Jablonec 10 12 9 +3 17
9 Zbrojovka Brno 10 12 13 -1 16
10 Bohemians 1905 10 11 11 0 15
11 Líšeň 10 11 20 -9 8
12 Hradec Králové 10 10 13 -3 14
13 Pardubice 10 9 16 -7 8
14 Slovácko 10 9 16 -7 7
15 Zlin 10 8 20 -12 1
16 Baník Ostrava 10 7 18 -11 10
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Slavia Praha 10 17.6 7.4 +10.2 26
2 Slovan Liberec 10 13.1 8.1 +5.0 20
3 Sparta Praha 10 15.7 11.5 +4.2 18
4 FK Jablonec 10 12.3 8.3 +4.0 17
5 Hradec Králové 10 8.5 6.6 +1.9 14
6 Plzen 10 11.6 10.0 +1.6 13
7 Teplice 10 10.7 10.2 +0.5 17
8 Bohemians 1905 10 10.1 10.5 -0.4 15
9 Zbrojovka Brno 10 8.2 8.6 -0.4 16
10 Pardubice 10 10.0 10.6 -0.6 8
11 Sigma Olomouc 10 9.6 10.4 -0.8 17
12 Líšeň 10 9.1 11.9 -2.8 8
13 Mlada Boleslav 10 13.3 16.6 -3.3 17
14 Baník Ostrava 10 11.7 17.2 -5.5 10
15 Slovácko 10 8.3 14.1 -5.8 7
16 Zlin 10 6.3 14.1 -7.8 1
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