Mixco vs Comunicaciones Statistics & Analysis

Mixco

Sep 05, 2026 - 21:00

1 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 85%

Comunicaciones

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Mixco Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 02:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5628451

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Mixco 1–1 Comunicaciones

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Nacional
Fixture: Mixco vs Comunicaciones
Kickoff: 2026-09-02 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Mixco 1.37 — Comunicaciones 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.4% · Implied: 48.2% · Probability edge: +6.2 pts · Est. EV: +9.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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