Iskra vs Berane Statistics & Analysis

Iskra

Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30

5 1.44

1 1.16

xG Accuracy: 36%

Berane

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Iskra Iskra ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13218661

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Iskra win · Iskra 5–1 Berane

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Second League
Fixture: Iskra vs Berane
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
xG (showing): Iskra 1.44 — Berane 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	11	5	5	1	20
2	Jedinstvo	11	6	2	3	20
3	Zeta	11	5	3	3	18
4	Grbalj	10	4	4	2	16
5	Iskra	11	5	1	5	16
6	Lovćen	11	5	1	5	16
7	Kom	10	4	3	3	15
8	Rudar	11	4	3	4	15
9	Mogren	11	2	4	5	10
10	Berane	11	0	2	9	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	11	20	14	+6	20
2	Jedinstvo	11	17	13	+4	20
3	Rudar	11	17	17	0	15
4	Zeta	11	16	13	+3	18
5	Lovćen	11	16	18	-2	16
6	Kom	10	14	11	+3	15
7	Mogren	11	14	15	-1	10
8	Grbalj	10	13	9	+4	16
9	Iskra	11	11	10	+1	16
10	Berane	11	7	25	-18	2