Zeta vs Kom Statistics & Analysis

Zeta

Sep 30, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.35

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 56%

Kom

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Zeta Kom ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10586411

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kom win · Zeta 1–3 Kom

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Second League
Fixture: Zeta vs Kom
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Zeta 1.35 — Kom 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 47.4% · Probability edge: +7.1 pts · Est. EV: +7.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	8	4	4	0	16
2	Jedinstvo	8	5	1	2	16
3	Zeta	8	4	3	1	15
4	Grbalj	7	3	3	1	12
5	Iskra	8	3	1	4	10
6	Lovćen	8	3	1	4	10
7	Rudar	8	2	3	3	9
8	Mogren	8	2	2	4	8
9	Kom	7	2	2	3	8
10	Berane	8	0	2	6	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	8	15	9	+6	16
2	Jedinstvo	8	14	9	+5	16
3	Zeta	8	12	7	+5	15
4	Lovćen	8	11	15	-4	10
5	Grbalj	7	10	6	+4	12
6	Mogren	8	10	10	0	8
7	Rudar	8	10	14	-4	9
8	Kom	7	7	7	0	8
9	Iskra	8	5	8	-3	10
10	Berane	8	5	14	-9	2