Rudar vs Berane Statistics & Analysis

Rudar

Sep 30, 2026 - 13:00

4 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 34%

Berane

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Rudar Rudar ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10586311

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Rudar win · Rudar 4–0 Berane

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Second League
Fixture: Rudar vs Berane
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Rudar 1.33 — Berane 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	5	5	0	20
2	Jedinstvo	10	6	2	2	20
3	Zeta	10	5	3	2	18
4	Grbalj	9	4	3	2	15
5	Iskra	10	4	1	5	13
6	Lovćen	10	4	1	5	13
7	Kom	9	3	3	3	12
8	Rudar	10	3	3	4	12
9	Mogren	10	2	3	5	9
10	Berane	10	0	2	8	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	18	11	+7	20
2	Jedinstvo	10	17	11	+6	20
3	Zeta	10	14	10	+4	18
4	Rudar	10	14	15	-1	12
5	Lovćen	10	14	18	-4	13
6	Mogren	10	12	13	-1	9
7	Grbalj	9	11	7	+4	15
8	Kom	9	11	9	+2	12
9	Iskra	10	6	9	-3	13
10	Berane	10	6	20	-14	2