Iskra vs Grbalj Statistics & Analysis

Iskra

Sep 30, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 64%

Grbalj

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Iskra Grbalj ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10586184

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Grbalj win · Iskra 0–1 Grbalj

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Second League
Fixture: Iskra vs Grbalj
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Iskra 1.37 — Grbalj 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	5	5	0	20
2	Jedinstvo	10	6	2	2	20
3	Zeta	10	5	3	2	18
4	Grbalj	9	4	3	2	15
5	Iskra	10	4	1	5	13
6	Lovćen	10	4	1	5	13
7	Kom	9	3	3	3	12
8	Rudar	10	3	3	4	12
9	Mogren	10	2	3	5	9
10	Berane	10	0	2	8	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	18	11	+7	20
2	Jedinstvo	10	17	11	+6	20
3	Zeta	10	14	10	+4	18
4	Rudar	10	14	15	-1	12
5	Lovćen	10	14	18	-4	13
6	Mogren	10	12	13	-1	9
7	Grbalj	9	11	7	+4	15
8	Kom	9	11	9	+2	12
9	Iskra	10	6	9	-3	13
10	Berane	10	6	20	-14	2