Statistics / Football / Belgium. Challenger Pro League / Dender vs Club Brugge II

Dender vs Club Brugge II Statistics & Analysis

Dender Dender
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.47
0 1.47
xG Accuracy: 44%
Club Brugge II Club Brugge II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dender Dender ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12703062

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dender win · Dender 3–0 Club Brugge II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Challenger Pro League
  • Fixture: Dender vs Club Brugge II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 27.1% · Away 33.9%
  • xG (showing): Dender 1.47 — Club Brugge II 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.94)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.7% · Over 2.5 56.3%); BTTS Yes (Yes 60.8% · No 39.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 60.8% · No 39.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Challenger Pro League Challenger Pro League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Beerschot Wilrijk 6 5 0 1 15
2 Dender 6 5 0 1 15
3 AS Eupen 5 4 0 1 12
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 12
5 Excelsior Virton 5 3 1 1 10
6 Lokeren-Temse 6 3 1 2 10
7 Sporting Hasselt 6 3 0 3 9
8 Club Brugge II 5 2 2 1 8
9 KRC Genk II 6 2 1 3 7
10 Liège 6 1 2 3 5
11 KAA Gent II 5 1 2 2 5
12 Lierse Kempenzonen 5 1 2 2 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 3
14 Seraing United 6 0 2 4 2
15 RSC Anderlecht II 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Beerschot Wilrijk 6 13 5 +8 15
2 Lokeren-Temse 6 13 11 +2 10
3 KRC Genk II 6 12 14 -2 7
4 AS Eupen 5 11 5 +6 12
5 Club Brugge II 5 11 10 +1 8
6 Liège 6 10 13 -3 5
7 Francs Borains 5 9 4 +5 12
8 Dender 6 8 2 +6 15
9 Excelsior Virton 5 8 2 +6 10
10 Patro Eisden 6 7 12 -5 3
11 RSC Anderlecht II 6 7 15 -8 1
12 KAA Gent II 5 6 9 -3 5
13 Seraing United 6 6 12 -6 2
14 Sporting Hasselt 6 4 7 -3 9
15 Lierse Kempenzonen 5 4 8 -4 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Beerschot Wilrijk 6 3.7 0.7 +3.0 15
2 AS Eupen 5 3.5 1.8 +1.7 12
3 Excelsior Virton 5 5.3 3.9 +1.4 10
4 Patro Eisden 6 2.1 1.3 +0.8 3
5 Seraing United 6 1.8 1.1 +0.7 2
6 Dender 6 1.4 0.8 +0.6 15
7 Francs Borains 5 2.2 1.7 +0.5 12
8 Lokeren-Temse 6 1.3 1.4 -0.1 10
9 Sporting Hasselt 6 3.1 3.3 -0.2 9
10 Lierse Kempenzonen 5 1.7 2.2 -0.5 5
11 Club Brugge II 5 0.8 1.4 -0.6 8
12 KAA Gent II 5 1.1 1.8 -0.7 5
13 KRC Genk II 6 1.3 2.1 -0.8 7
14 RSC Anderlecht II 6 1.2 4.2 -3.0 1
15 Liège 6 0.7 3.7 -3.0 5