Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 2. SNL / Tabor Sežana vs Rudar

Tabor Sežana vs Rudar Statistics & Analysis

Tabor Sežana Tabor Sežana
Oct 09, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 64%
Rudar Rudar
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rudar Tabor Sežana ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12691513

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tabor Sežana win · Tabor Sežana 1–0 Rudar
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. SNL
  • Fixture: Tabor Sežana vs Rudar
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Tabor Sežana 1.25 — Rudar 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.4% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. SNL 2. SNL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tabor Sežana 10 8 1 1 25
2 Beltinci 10 7 1 2 22
3 Triglav 10 7 1 2 22
4 Jesenice 10 5 2 3 17
5 Slovan Ljubljana 10 5 2 3 17
6 Ilirija 10 5 1 4 16
7 Rudar 10 5 0 5 15
8 Bilje 10 5 0 5 15
9 Dekani 10 4 3 3 15
10 Bistrica 10 4 2 4 14
11 Dren Vrhnika 10 4 2 4 14
12 Primorje 10 2 4 4 10
13 Krško 10 2 3 5 9
14 Krka 10 2 1 7 7
15 Dravinja 10 1 2 7 5
16 Brežice 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Beltinci 10 28 12 +16 22
2 Tabor Sežana 10 21 7 +14 25
3 Triglav 10 20 5 +15 22
4 Rudar 10 19 17 +2 15
5 Jesenice 10 18 14 +4 17
6 Bilje 10 18 22 -4 15
7 Ilirija 10 17 11 +6 16
8 Slovan Ljubljana 10 14 16 -2 17
9 Bistrica 10 13 15 -2 14
10 Primorje 10 11 16 -5 10
11 Dren Vrhnika 10 10 13 -3 14
12 Krka 10 10 18 -8 7
13 Brežice 10 10 20 -10 3
14 Dravinja 10 10 25 -15 5
15 Krško 10 8 17 -9 9
16 Dekani 10 7 6 +1 15
2. SNL Slovenia. 2. SNL Predictions