Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 2. SNL / Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika

Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika Statistics & Analysis

Dekani Dekani
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
Dren Vrhnika Dren Vrhnika
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dekani Dekani ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13224312

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dekani win · Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. SNL
  • Fixture: Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Dekani 1.31 — Dren Vrhnika 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.5%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. SNL 2. SNL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tabor Sežana 10 8 1 1 25
2 Beltinci 10 7 1 2 22
3 Triglav 10 7 1 2 22
4 Jesenice 10 5 2 3 17
5 Slovan Ljubljana 10 5 2 3 17
6 Ilirija 10 5 1 4 16
7 Rudar 10 5 0 5 15
8 Bilje 10 5 0 5 15
9 Dekani 10 4 3 3 15
10 Bistrica 10 4 2 4 14
11 Dren Vrhnika 10 4 2 4 14
12 Primorje 10 2 4 4 10
13 Krško 10 2 3 5 9
14 Krka 10 2 1 7 7
15 Dravinja 10 1 2 7 5
16 Brežice 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Beltinci 10 28 12 +16 22
2 Tabor Sežana 10 21 7 +14 25
3 Triglav 10 20 5 +15 22
4 Rudar 10 19 17 +2 15
5 Jesenice 10 18 14 +4 17
6 Bilje 10 18 22 -4 15
7 Ilirija 10 17 11 +6 16
8 Slovan Ljubljana 10 14 16 -2 17
9 Bistrica 10 13 15 -2 14
10 Primorje 10 11 16 -5 10
11 Dren Vrhnika 10 10 13 -3 14
12 Krka 10 10 18 -8 7
13 Brežice 10 10 20 -10 3
14 Dravinja 10 10 25 -15 5
15 Krško 10 8 17 -9 9
16 Dekani 10 7 6 +1 15
2. SNL Slovenia. 2. SNL Predictions