Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 2. SNL / Beltinci vs Bilje

Beltinci vs Bilje Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
5 1.42
1 1.18
xG Accuracy: 36%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Beltinci Beltinci ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13224249

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Beltinci win · Beltinci 5–1 Bilje
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. SNL
  • Fixture: Beltinci vs Bilje
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Beltinci 1.42 — Bilje 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. SNL 2. SNL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tabor Sežana 10 8 1 1 25
2 Beltinci 10 7 1 2 22
3 Triglav 9 6 1 2 19
4 Jesenice 10 5 2 3 17
5 Ilirija 10 5 1 4 16
6 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 16
7 Rudar 10 5 0 5 15
8 Bilje 10 5 0 5 15
9 Dekani 10 4 3 3 15
10 Dren Vrhnika 10 4 2 4 14
11 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 13
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 9
13 Krško 9 2 3 4 9
14 Krka 10 2 1 7 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 4
16 Brežice 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Beltinci 10 28 12 +16 22
2 Tabor Sežana 10 21 7 +14 25
3 Rudar 10 19 17 +2 15
4 Triglav 9 18 5 +13 19
5 Jesenice 10 18 14 +4 17
6 Bilje 10 18 22 -4 15
7 Ilirija 10 17 11 +6 16
8 Slovan Ljubljana 9 13 15 -2 16
9 Bistrica 9 12 14 -2 13
10 Dren Vrhnika 10 10 13 -3 14
11 Primorje 9 10 15 -5 9
12 Krka 10 10 18 -8 7
13 Brežice 10 10 20 -10 3
14 Dravinja 9 9 24 -15 4
15 Krško 9 8 15 -7 9
16 Dekani 10 7 6 +1 15