Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 2. SNL / Bilje vs Dekani

Bilje vs Dekani Statistics & Analysis

Oct 06, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bilje Bilje ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676194

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bilje win · Bilje 2–0 Dekani
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. SNL
  • Fixture: Bilje vs Dekani
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Bilje 1.32 — Dekani 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 49.9% · Probability edge: +1.9 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. SNL 2. SNL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tabor Sežana 9 7 1 1 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 15
7 Dren Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 14
8 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 13
9 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 13
10 Bilje 8 4 0 4 12
11 Dekani 8 3 3 2 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 9
13 Krško 9 2 3 4 9
14 Krka 9 2 1 6 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 4
16 Brežice 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Beltinci 9 23 11 +12 19
2 Tabor Sežana 9 20 7 +13 22
3 Rudar 9 19 16 +3 15
4 Triglav 9 18 5 +13 19
5 Jesenice 9 16 12 +4 16
6 Ilirija 9 15 10 +5 13
7 Bilje 8 15 17 -2 12
8 Slovan Ljubljana 9 13 15 -2 16
9 Bistrica 9 12 14 -2 13
10 Dren Vrhnika 9 10 12 -2 14
11 Primorje 9 10 15 -5 9
12 Krka 9 9 16 -7 7
13 Dravinja 9 9 24 -15 4
14 Krško 9 8 15 -7 9
15 Brežice 9 8 18 -10 2
16 Dekani 8 6 4 +2 12