Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Lusso W Statistics & Analysis

Czarni Sosnowiec W

Jul 22, 2026 - 16:00

7 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 19%

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Lusso W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Czarni Sosnowiec W Czarni Sosnowiec W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 20:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2084616

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Czarni Sosnowiec W win · Czarni Sosnowiec W 7–1 Lusso W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: UEFA Women's Champions League
Fixture: Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Lusso W
Kickoff: 2026-07-22 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Czarni Sosnowiec W 1.32 — Lusso W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA Champions League Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Lyon W	1	1	0	0	3
2	Barcelona W	1	1	0	0	3
3	SL Benfica	1	1	0	0	3
4	Arsenal W	1	1	0	0	3
5	Chelsea W	1	1	0	0	3
6	Inter Milano W	1	1	0	0	3
7	Manchester City W	1	0	1	0	1
8	Bayern Munich W	1	0	1	0	1
9	Paris Saint Germain W	1	0	1	0	1
10	Real Madrid W	1	0	1	0	1
11	OH Leuven W	1	0	1	0	1
12	Roma W	1	0	1	0	1
13	Juventus W	1	0	0	1	0
14	Austria Wien W	1	0	0	1	0
15	Häcken	1	0	0	1	0
16	Køge	1	0	0	1	0
17	Paris FC W	1	0	0	1	0
18	Servette Chênois W	1	0	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Lyon W	1	8	0	+8	3
2	Barcelona W	1	5	2	+3	3
3	SL Benfica	1	2	1	+1	3
4	Manchester City W	1	2	2	0	1
5	Bayern Munich W	1	2	2	0	1
6	Paris FC W	1	2	5	-3	0
7	Arsenal W	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea W	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Inter Milano W	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Paris Saint Germain W	1	1	1	0	1
11	Real Madrid W	1	1	1	0	1
12	Juventus W	1	1	2	-1	0
13	OH Leuven W	1	0	0	0	1
14	Roma W	1	0	0	0	1
15	Austria Wien W	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Häcken	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Køge	1	0	1	-1	0
18	Servette Chênois W	1	0	8	-8	0