Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 1. SNL / Nafta vs Bravo

Nafta vs Bravo Statistics & Analysis

Nafta Nafta
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.15
0 1.45
xG Accuracy: 64%
Bravo Bravo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bravo Nafta ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13205544

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nafta win · Nafta 1–0 Bravo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. SNL
  • Fixture: Nafta vs Bravo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Nafta 1.15 — Bravo 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.6% · Probability edge: +9.2 pts · Est. EV: +15.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. SNL 1. SNL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 18
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 12
8 Brinje-Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Maribor 10 19 8 +11 20
2 Nafta 10 17 16 +1 13
3 Aluminij 10 16 11 +5 13
4 Brinje-Grosuplje 10 14 18 -4 11
5 Bravo 10 12 10 +2 18
6 Koper 10 11 8 +3 18
7 Celje 9 11 11 0 12
8 Olimpija Ljubljana 10 10 8 +2 14
9 Mura 10 10 21 -11 9
10 Radomlje 9 9 18 -9 5
1. SNL Slovenia. 1. SNL Predictions