RAAL La Louviere W vs Gent W Statistics & Analysis

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RAAL La Louviere W

Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00

3 1.42

2 1.18

xG Accuracy: 52%

Gent W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 RAAL La Louviere W RAAL La Louviere W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8701805

Closing Odds 1.75

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result RAAL La Louviere W win · RAAL La Louviere W 3–2 Gent W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Gent W (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 11.2 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
RAAL La Louviere W (1X2)	41.0	50.7	-9.7
Draw (1X2)	29.4	22.7	+6.7
Gent W (1X2)	29.6	26.6	+3.0
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	59.4	-11.2
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	40.6	+11.2

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 40.6%. The difference — about 11.2 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE5 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE5)
RAAL La Louviere W (1X2)	1.75	1.75
Draw (1X2)	3.91	3.91
Gent W (1X2)	3.33	3.33
Over 2.5 goals	1.54	1.54
Under 2.5 goals	2.25	2.25

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Super League Women
Fixture: RAAL La Louviere W vs Gent W
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): RAAL La Louviere W 1.42 — Gent W 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.2% · Probability edge: +10.6 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Super League Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Anderlecht W	3	3	0	0	9
2	Club Brugge W	3	3	0	0	9
3	OH Leuven W	3	2	1	0	7
4	RAAL La Louviere W	3	2	0	1	6
5	Genk W	4	1	1	2	4
6	Standard Liege W	3	1	0	2	3
7	Zulte-Waregem W	3	0	0	3	0
8	Gent W	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	OH Leuven W	3	11	1	+10	7
2	Anderlecht W	3	8	0	+8	9
3	Club Brugge W	3	6	2	+4	9
4	RAAL La Louviere W	3	4	3	+1	6
5	Gent W	4	3	13	-10	0
6	Genk W	4	2	5	-3	4
7	Standard Liege W	3	2	8	-6	3
8	Zulte-Waregem W	3	1	5	-4	0