Zulte-Waregem W vs Club Brugge W Statistics & Analysis

Zulte-Waregem W

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.28

2 1.32

xG Accuracy: 77%

Club Brugge W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Club Brugge W Club Brugge W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7440874

Closing Odds 1.46

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Club Brugge W win · Zulte-Waregem W 1–2 Club Brugge W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Zulte-Waregem W (1X2), Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Zulte-Waregem W (1X2) by about 16.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Zulte-Waregem W (1X2)	34.2	18.1	+16.1
Draw (1X2)	29.7	21.2	+8.5
Club Brugge W (1X2)	36.1	60.7	-24.6
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	57.5	-9.2
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	42.5	+9.2

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 34.2% on Zulte-Waregem W (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 18.1%. The difference — about 16.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE5 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE5)
Zulte-Waregem W (1X2)	4.89	4.89
Draw (1X2)	4.18	4.18
Club Brugge W (1X2)	1.46	1.46
Over 2.5 goals	1.6	1.6
Under 2.5 goals	2.16	2.16

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Super League Women
Fixture: Zulte-Waregem W vs Club Brugge W
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Zulte-Waregem W 1.28 — Club Brugge W 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Anderlecht W	3	3	0	0	9
2	Club Brugge W	3	3	0	0	9
3	OH Leuven W	3	2	1	0	7
4	RAAL La Louviere W	3	2	0	1	6
5	Genk W	4	1	1	2	4
6	Standard Liege W	3	1	0	2	3
7	Zulte-Waregem W	3	0	0	3	0
8	Gent W	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	OH Leuven W	3	11	1	+10	7
2	Anderlecht W	3	8	0	+8	9
3	Club Brugge W	3	6	2	+4	9
4	RAAL La Louviere W	3	4	3	+1	6
5	Gent W	4	3	13	-10	0
6	Genk W	4	2	5	-3	4
7	Standard Liege W	3	2	8	-6	3
8	Zulte-Waregem W	3	1	5	-4	0