Israel W vs Switzerland W Statistics & Analysis

Israel W

Oct 09, 2026 - 13:30

3 1.06

7 1.11

xG Accuracy: 12%

Switzerland W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (10 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Switzerland W Switzerland W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 3-7 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12695147

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Switzerland W win · Israel W 3–7 Switzerland W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Fixture: Israel W vs Switzerland W
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.3% · Draw 32.9% · Away 34.8%
xG (showing): Israel W 1.06 — Switzerland W 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.17)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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