Statistics / Football / USA. USL Super League / Brooklyn W vs Sporting JAX

Brooklyn W vs Sporting JAX Statistics & Analysis

Brooklyn W Brooklyn W
Sep 13, 2026 - 19:00
3 1.16
2 1.44
xG Accuracy: 52%
Sporting JAX Sporting JAX
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sporting JAX Brooklyn W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7458545

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brooklyn W win · Brooklyn W 3–2 Sporting JAX
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: USL Super League
  • Fixture: Brooklyn W vs Sporting JAX
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
  • xG (showing): Brooklyn W 1.16 — Sporting JAX 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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USL Super League USL Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Carolina Ascent W 6 5 0 1 15
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11
3 Sporting JAX 6 3 1 2 10
4 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 10
5 Lexington W 5 3 0 2 9
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 5 2 2 1 8
7 Fort Lauderdale United W 6 1 0 5 3
8 Brooklyn W 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 DC Power W 7 11 8 +3 11
2 Carolina Ascent W 6 10 3 +7 15
3 Sporting JAX 6 9 7 +2 10
4 Dallas Trinity W 7 9 11 -2 10
5 Lexington W 5 8 3 +5 9
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 5 8 7 +1 8
7 Fort Lauderdale United W 6 4 10 -6 3
8 Brooklyn W 6 4 14 -10 3
USL Super League USA. USL Super League Predictions