Statistics / Football / Scotland. League One / Montrose vs Ross County

Montrose vs Ross County Statistics & Analysis

Montrose Montrose
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.27
5 1.33
xG Accuracy: 26%
Ross County Ross County
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ross County Ross County ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13223507

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ross County win · Montrose 0–5 Ross County
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: League One
  • Fixture: Montrose vs Ross County
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Montrose 1.27 — Ross County 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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League One League One — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 19
2 Hamilton Academical 7 6 1 0 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 13
5 Alloa Athletic 8 2 3 3 9
6 Airdrie United 8 2 3 3 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ross County 7 22 4 +18 19
2 Hamilton Academical 7 16 1 +15 19
3 East Kilbride 8 14 12 +2 13
4 Montrose 8 13 13 0 15
5 Alloa Athletic 8 8 6 +2 9
6 East Fife 8 7 7 0 8
7 Airdrie United 8 6 11 -5 9
8 Peterhead 8 6 14 -8 7
9 Queen of the South 8 6 24 -18 4
10 Cove Rangers 8 5 11 -6 5