Peterhead vs Airdrie United Statistics & Analysis

Peterhead

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.24

2 1.36

xG Accuracy: 78%

Airdrie United

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Airdrie United Airdrie United ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8680864

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Airdrie United win · Peterhead 1–2 Airdrie United

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: League One
Fixture: Peterhead vs Airdrie United
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Peterhead 1.24 — Airdrie United 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Peterhead & Airdrie United!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

League One — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Ross County	7	6	1	0	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	6	1	0	19
3	Montrose	8	5	0	3	15
4	East Kilbride	8	4	1	3	13
5	Alloa Athletic	8	2	3	3	9
6	Airdrie United	8	2	3	3	9
7	East Fife	8	1	5	2	8
8	Peterhead	8	2	1	5	7
9	Cove Rangers	8	1	2	5	5
10	Queen of the South	8	1	1	6	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ross County	7	22	4	+18	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	16	1	+15	19
3	East Kilbride	8	14	12	+2	13
4	Montrose	8	13	13	0	15
5	Alloa Athletic	8	8	6	+2	9
6	East Fife	8	7	7	0	8
7	Airdrie United	8	6	11	-5	9
8	Peterhead	8	6	14	-8	7
9	Queen of the South	8	6	24	-18	4
10	Cove Rangers	8	5	11	-6	5