Statistics / Football / Scotland. League One / Queen of the South vs Peterhead

Queen of the South vs Peterhead Statistics & Analysis

Queen of the South Queen of the South
Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.47
1 1.13
xG Accuracy: 64%
Peterhead Peterhead
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Queen of the South Peterhead ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2818381

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Peterhead win · Queen of the South 0–1 Peterhead
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: League One
  • Fixture: Queen of the South vs Peterhead
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Queen of the South 1.47 — Peterhead 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 46.3% · Implied: 41.4% · Probability edge: +4.9 pts · Est. EV: +11.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
League One League One — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 19
2 Hamilton Academical 7 6 1 0 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 13
5 Alloa Athletic 8 2 3 3 9
6 Airdrie United 8 2 3 3 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ross County 7 22 4 +18 19
2 Hamilton Academical 7 16 1 +15 19
3 East Kilbride 8 14 12 +2 13
4 Montrose 8 13 13 0 15
5 Alloa Athletic 8 8 6 +2 9
6 East Fife 8 7 7 0 8
7 Airdrie United 8 6 11 -5 9
8 Peterhead 8 6 14 -8 7
9 Queen of the South 8 6 24 -18 4
10 Cove Rangers 8 5 11 -6 5
League One Scotland. League One Predictions