East Fife vs Cove Rangers Statistics & Analysis

East Fife

Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.20

0 1.40

xG Accuracy: 55%

Cove Rangers

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Cove Rangers East Fife ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2818345

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result East Fife win · East Fife 2–0 Cove Rangers

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: League One
Fixture: East Fife vs Cove Rangers
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): East Fife 1.2 — Cove Rangers 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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League One — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Ross County	7	6	1	0	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	6	1	0	19
3	Montrose	8	5	0	3	15
4	East Kilbride	8	4	1	3	13
5	Alloa Athletic	8	2	3	3	9
6	Airdrie United	8	2	3	3	9
7	East Fife	8	1	5	2	8
8	Peterhead	8	2	1	5	7
9	Cove Rangers	8	1	2	5	5
10	Queen of the South	8	1	1	6	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ross County	7	22	4	+18	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	16	1	+15	19
3	East Kilbride	8	14	12	+2	13
4	Montrose	8	13	13	0	15
5	Alloa Athletic	8	8	6	+2	9
6	East Fife	8	7	7	0	8
7	Airdrie United	8	6	11	-5	9
8	Peterhead	8	6	14	-8	7
9	Queen of the South	8	6	24	-18	4
10	Cove Rangers	8	5	11	-6	5