Statistics / Football / Scotland. Premiership / Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Statistics & Analysis

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.28
4 1.83
xG Accuracy: 39%
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5138233

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dundee Utd win · Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premiership
  • Fixture: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.9% · Draw 26.2% · Away 44.9%
  • xG (showing): Kilmarnock 1.28 — Dundee Utd 1.83 (total xG ≈ 3.11)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 60.1% · Implied: 55.9% · Probability edge: +4.2 pts · Est. EV: +8.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Kilmarnock & Dundee Utd!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Premiership Premiership — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 16
3 Heart Of Midlothian 7 4 1 2 13
4 Dundee 7 3 1 3 10
5 ST Mirren 7 3 1 3 10
6 ST Johnstone 7 2 2 3 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Celtic 7 14 4 +10 18
2 Heart Of Midlothian 7 14 8 +6 13
3 Dundee 7 9 7 +2 10
4 ST Johnstone 7 9 10 -1 8
5 Dundee Utd 7 9 11 -2 8
6 Motherwell 7 9 11 -2 8
7 Rangers 7 8 4 +4 16
8 ST Mirren 7 8 9 -1 10
9 Hibernian 7 8 11 -3 7
10 Aberdeen 7 7 8 -1 8
11 Falkirk 7 6 9 -3 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 6 15 -9 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Celtic 7 11.1 1.9 +9.2 18
2 Heart Of Midlothian 7 7.1 4.5 +2.6 13
3 Motherwell 7 7.2 4.8 +2.4 8
4 ST Mirren 7 6.2 4.7 +1.5 10
5 Rangers 7 5.3 3.8 +1.5 16
6 ST Johnstone 7 6.7 5.6 +1.1 8
7 Hibernian 7 7.8 7.3 +0.5 7
8 Dundee Utd 7 6.9 8.3 -1.4 8
9 Aberdeen 7 3.4 5.4 -2.0 8
10 Dundee 7 5.6 8.7 -3.1 10
11 Falkirk 7 1.7 5.3 -3.6 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 3.1 11.9 -8.8 5